Jamaica Long-Term Political Outlook

  • Jamaica's well-developed democratic institutions and broad consensus between the country's main political parties on the need for economic reform will help to maintain broad political stability over the next decade.
  • However, significant domestic challenges across a number of fronts, including security concerns, joblessness, and increasing fiscal austerity will provide fertile ground for intermittent social unrest.
  • In the Long-Term Political Risk Index prepared by Fitch, Jamaica scores 16th out of 26 Caribbean countries.
  • The country boasts relatively high scores on the 'policy continuity' subcomponent but is weighed down by lower 'policy enforcement' and 'rule of law' scores.

 (Source: Fitch)