- Following the upgrade of Jamaica’s sovereign rating to 'BB' from 'BB-' with a positive outlook, S&P Global Ratings has subsequently raised the ratings of Kingston Airport Revenue Finance LLC (KingAir) and Montego Bay Airport Revenue Finance Ltd. (MoAir) to 'BB+' from 'BB', one notch above the sovereign rating.
- The ratings reflect the rating agency’s expectations that both entities are well-positioned to withstand sovereign stress, supported by strong financial structures, such as dollar-denominated revenues with no foreign exchange exposure, stable air passenger volumes, and offshore cash-funded reserve accounts.
- MoAir and KingAir’s ratings could be upgraded within the next 12 months if Jamaica’s sovereign rating is raised and the rating agency upgrades its Transfer & Convertibility (T&C) assessment to 'BBB-'. However, the ratings could be downgraded if traffic volumes decline, resulting in debt service coverage ratios (DSCRs) consistently falling below 1.2x for both entities.
- Meanwhile, S&P also upgraded Transjamaican Highway Ltd. to 'BB' from 'BB-'. The outlook is also positive. The project's regulated nature and limited capacity to withstand sovereign stress due to the dependence on tariff adjustments both factored into the rating. The rating on TJH is capped at the sovereign level due to its exposure to regulatory risks and dependence on local economic conditions.
- TJH’s positive outlook mirrors that of the sovereign, with the potential for an upgrade if S&P raises Jamaica’s rating, subject to continued strengthening of the country’s policy framework. However, the outlook could be revised to stable if the sovereign outlook is similarly revised.
- The projects’ Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) could also be downgraded from 'a-' to 'bbb+' if financial performance, traffic volumes, or maintenance requirements significantly underperform expectations, resulting in a minimum DSCR of 1.7x or below. Furthermore, S&P may also lower the SACP if it downgrades the rating of National Commercial Bank Jamaica Ltd. (BB-/Stable/B), the project's bank account provider.
(Source: S&P Global Ratings)