Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged, Sees 'Elevated' Inflation and Stabilising Job Market

• The U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, citing still-elevated inflation alongside solid economic growth, and giving little indication in its latest policy statement of when borrowing costs might fall again. "Economic activity has ‌been expanding at a solid pace," Fed policymakers said in the statement after voting 10-2 to hold the U.S. central bank's benchmark interest rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range following a two-day meeting.
• Both Governor Christopher Waller, a contender to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell when his term as central bank chief ends in May, and Governor Stephen Miran, currently on leave from his job as an economic adviser at the White House, dissented in favour of a quarter-percentage-point rate cut. The statement from the policy-setting Federal ‌Open Market Committee (FOMC) offered no hint about when another reduction in borrowing costs might come, noting that "the extent and timing of additional adjustments" to the policy rate would depend on incoming data and the economic outlook.
• Meanwhile, inflation "remains somewhat elevated," the central bank said, while the job market has "shown some signs of stabilisation. Fed policymakers ahead of this week's meeting had largely characterised the job market as roughly in balance, with smaller gains matching the slower growth in the numbers of those seeking employment as a result of the Trump ⁠administration's stricter immigration policies. The unemployment rate in December fell to 4.4%.
• The decision to maintain borrowing costs at their current level effectively pauses the Fed's current monetary easing cycle, which begun near ⁠the end of the Biden administration ⁠and continued after a pause of roughly nine months during President Donald Trump's second term in the White House, on hold again after three quarter-percentage-point reductions at the central bank's final three meetings of 2025.
• The rate cut at the December 9-10 meeting left the FOMC unusually divided. Three of its 12 voting members dissented, with one in favour of an even deeper cut and ‍two in favour of no reduction at all.
• Those same divisions have carried into 2026, and recent economic data have done little to change the outlook for those officials most concerned that inflation is not progressing back to the central bank's 2% target, or for those more worried about a rise in the unemployment rate if credit conditions aren't loosened to encourage more spending and investment. It's a debate that could shape the first weeks in office of ‍whoever is named to replace Powell in the top Fed job, a decision that Trump is expected to announce soon. Powell's successor is expected to be in place to run the central bank's meeting in June. Investors currently expect the Fed to keep rates on hold until then

(Source: Reuters)