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UK Government’s Borrowing Hits Record £128Bn In April-June 2020 Published: 21 July 2020

  • British government borrowing surged to a record £127.9Bn in the first three months of the 2020/21 financial year, when COVID-19 lockdown measures were at their tightest, official figures showed on Tuesday.
  • Public sector net borrowing between April and June was £103.9Bn higher than in the same three months last year, and more than double the £55.4Bn borrowed in all of the 2019/20 tax year which ended in March.
  • Public sector net debt, excluding state-owned banks, rose to £1.984Tn, which Britain’s Office for National Statistics said was equivalent to 99.6% of gross domestic product - also a downward revision compared with May.

(Source: Reuters)

EU Leaders Reach $2Tn Deal On Recovery Plan After Marathon Summit Published: 21 July 2020

  • The 27 European Union governments have reached a breakthrough agreement over new fiscal stimulus, following marathon talks in Brussels that lasted four days.
  • The European Commission, the executive arm of the EU, has been tasked with tapping financial markets to raise an unprecedented €750Bn ($857Bn). The funds will be distributed among the countries and sectors most impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, and will take the form of grants and loans.
  • In addition to the recovery fund, the EU said its next budget, which will fund initiatives between 2021 and 2027, will total €1.07Tn. The two combined bring upcoming investments to the level of €1.824Tn. “This recovery fund will help us to almost double the European budget for the years to come,” French President Emmanuel Macron said Tuesday morning.

(Source: CNBC)

Barita Investments Limited (BIL) – Additional Public Offer Published: 17 July 2020

  • Barita announced this week that it received board approval to issue up to 200,000,000 ordinary shares, as part of the authorized capital of the Company to the general public by way of an Additional Public Offer, with the option to upsize by inviting offers for up to an additional 100,000,000 New Ordinary Shares.
  • Other conditions include: APO Price(s) of between J$48.00 to J$53.00 per New Ordinary Share;
  • New Ordinary Shares will be reserved for the benefit of certain specified investors in the amount and at prices as determined in the discretion of the Company;
  • APO to open on August 26th, 2020, and closes on September 16th, 2020 for subscription by investors.

(Source: JSE)

RJR Turns Around Prior Year Losses Published: 17 July 2020

  • Radio Jamaica Limited reported an audited net profit of $37.56Mn (EPS: 2¢) for the year ended March 31, 2020, representing a $60.00Mn improvement from the $22.44Mn (EPS: -1¢) loss reported in 2019.
  • This performance was driven by a 2.0% (or $109.81Mn) increase in total revenue coupled with a 5.7% (or 156.41Mn) decrease in cost of sales, a 1.1% (or $13.47Mn) reduction in admin expenses as well as 9.4% (or $5.25Mn) decline in finance cost.
  • The stock has fallen by -29.5% since the beginning of 2020. RJR closed Thursday’s trading session at $1.29 and currently trades at a P/E of 64.5x earnings which is equivalent to the Main Market Communications Sector Average of 64.5x earnings.

 (Source: RJR Financials)

Coronavirus To Ravage Economy Of Latin America, Output To Contract 9.1%: U.N. Agency Published: 17 July 2020

  • The coronavirus pandemic will swell the ranks of the poor and unemployed in Latin America and the Caribbean and drag the region´s economic output down by 9.1%.
  • The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) estimates that an additional 18 million people will find themselves out of work relative to 2019 levels, as lockdown measures continue to hammer already frail economies.
  • The region´s poor will swell to 230.9 million in 2020, up from 185.5 million in 2019, and account for 37.3% of Latin America and the Caribbean´s population. Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Mexico, and Peru will see the largest spikes, the agency said.
  • Slumping growth globally, alongside a downturn in consumption and investment by top trade partners China and the United States, will hit demand for the region´s abundant raw materials, driving exports down by 23%.

(Source: Reuters)

Coronavirus Pandemic Will Drive Substantial Recession In Saint Kitts And Nevis Published: 17 July 2020

  • The global spread of Covid-19 will undermine short-term tourism in Saint Kitts and Nevis (SKN) and cause significant contractions in exports and private consumption.
  • Fitch Solutions has revised down its 2020 growth forecast for SKN to -11.5% y-o-y, from -4.5%, as the economy has remained closed to foreign tourists.
  • A second wave of infections globally in Q4 2020 poses downside risks to their forecast, as SKN would likely extend its border closure.

(Source: Fitch Solutions)

OPEC+ to Boost Oil Output in August, Seeing Demand Recovery Published: 17 July 2020

  • OPEC and its allies will restore some oil supplies next month, but the impact will be “barely felt” as demand recovers from the coronavirus crisis, said Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister.
  • After almost three months of historic output curbs to offset the global pandemic's worst effects, the 23-nation coalition led by Riyadh and Moscow will proceed with its plan to taper the reductions gradually. The decision was widely expected but still carries some risks for the cartel after a resurgence of the virus in the U.S., the world's largest oil consumer.
  • The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will withhold 7.7 million barrels a day from the market in August, compared with cuts of 9.6 million currently. The group’s two largest members, Russia and Saudi Arabia, publicly backed the move, and other ministers participating in the video conference had agreed in principle, delegates said.

(Source: Bloomberg)

 

Global Debt Hits Record High Of 331% Of GDP In First Quarter: IIF Published: 17 July 2020

  • Global debt surged to a record $258Tn in the first quarter of 2020 as economies around the world shut down to contain the coronavirus pandemic, and debt levels are continuing to rise, according to the Institute for International Finance (IIF).
  • The IIF, which represents global banks and financial institutions, said the first-quarter debt-to-GDP ratio jumped by over 10 percentage points, the largest quarterly surge on record, to reach a record 331%.
  • Overall, gross debt issuance hit an “eye-watering” record of $12.5Tn in the second quarter, compared with a quarterly average of $5.5Tn in 2019, the IIF said. It noted that 60% of those issues came from governments.

(Source: Reuters)

Increased Expense Sinks LASF Into Losses Published: 16 July 2020

  • Despite a 13.4% (or $295.80Mn) increase in revenues, Lasco Financial Services Limited reported an audited net loss of $56.92Mn (EPS: -4.49¢) for the year ended March 31, 2020. This represents an almost five-fold decline from the $281.76Mn (EPS: 22.28¢) net profit made in the prior year.
  • A 56.1% (or $429.20Mn) increase in selling and promotion expenses, a 22.9% (or $201.73Mn) rise in administrative expenses, as well as a 23.4% (or $39.55Mn) increase in finance costs drove this performance.
  • The stock price has fallen 42.6% since the start of the year, closing Wednesday’s trading session at $2.49. At this price, LASF trades at a P/B of 2.04x, which is below the Junior Market Financial Sector Average of 2.57x.

(Source: LASF Financials)

1834 Investments Reports Strong Growth in Profit Published: 16 July 2020

  • For the year ended March 31, 2020, 1834 Investments Limited reported audited net profit of $40.59Mn (EPS: 3.35¢), up by $35.04Mn, relative to the $5.55Mn reported in 2019.
  • This improvement was driven by a 73.4% (or $40.44Mn) increase in total revenues and $36.65Mn rise in share of profit from associates, which outstripped the 38.1% (or $17.54Mn) increase in other operating expenses and a 19.4% (or $4.74Mn) rise in administrative expenses.
  • This improvement in the bottom line was also supported by no fair value loss on investment properties for the reporting period, which represents an improvement from the $31.41Mn loss reported in the prior year.
  • The stock price has fallen 5.6% since the start of the year. 1834 Investments closed Wednesday’s trading session at $1.01 and is currently trading at a P/E of 30.1x, which is well above the Main Market Financial Sector Average of 15.0x.

(Source: 1834 Investments Financials)